Publisher:Risk
Books of Risk Waters Group, which organises Risk Conferences, publishes Energy
Power Risk Management (EPRM) monthly trade magazine
of the energy trading and risk management community.
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Hardcover, 241 pages
8 chapters with illustrations and index
ISBN: 1 904339 11 5
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about the book
Risk and flexibility in electricity: introduction
to the fundamentals and techniques
edited by Anne Ku
published by RiskBooks RiskBooks
information on this book
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Just
published! reflections by Anne
Ku
Book review by Marco
Antonio Guimarães Dias 27 Jan 2004
Last update: 5 August 2005
Chapter
Contents0. Introduction and overview: the supply or value chain:
fuel, generation, transmission, distribution, supply (descriptive, historical,
philosophical) " Physical processes redefined by risk and flexibility "
Decision makers redefined " Contracts " Impact of deregulation
1. Fuel: trading and procurement " Cross-commodity
trading " Oil " Natural gas " Coal " Nuclear
2. Renewables and intermittent generation
" Hydro " Renewables
3. Analysing risk and return in the physical energy portfolio: a non-technical
overview
" Asset valuation (real
options) " Asset optimisation " Portfolio optimisation
4. What's driving the demand for forecasting
" Prices: forecasting vs forward curves " Supply forecasting "
Demand forecasting " Simulation, scenario analysis
(Fereidoon Sioshansi)
5. Transmission, transmission services and non-energy markets
" Transmission pricing " Basis hedge " Delivery
risk
6. Fundamentals of retail transactions
" Deal structuring " Risks "
Decision making
(Lance Hinrichs)
7. Exotic options
" Options defined " Determinants
or attributes of exoticity " Examples
8. Simulation for organisational learning in competitive electricity
markets
" System dynamics as a modelling tool "
Timing risk
Index
| An introductory
text which assumes no knowledge of the reader, this book serves newcomers to the
industry and those that have moved within the industry via different job functions.
It looks at the business of producing and delivery electricity from the beginning
to the end, that is, the entire value chain from the primary fuel all the way
to the end user. As an introductory text, it is complementary to existing
technical books of RiskBooks which are mainly from a financial point of view -
to bridge the engineering view. Privatisation, liberalisation, and deregulation
of the electricity industry all brought about uncertainty, which is the one thing
that changed the way decisions are made and attitudes are formed. In place
of vertical disintegration are now legal contracts between different entities.
From one perspective, the contracts have risks and require risk management
tools for hedging purposes. From another perspective, there are now more
possibilities - more choices - more flexibility. We can view risk and flexibility
as two sides of the same coin of uncertainty. From these lenses, the supply or
value chain of electricity production and delivery can be seen from the point
of view of physical and financial realities. In particular, the book focuses
on topics from a decision maker's point of view. |